Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.005127 0.005645 0.006205 0.006858 0.007600 0.008421 0.009402
2025-10-12 0.004341 0.005068 0.005915 0.006984 0.008312 0.009922 0.012050
2025-10-19 0.003805 0.004611 0.005597 0.006909 0.008639 0.010878 0.014064
2025-10-26 0.003431 0.004280 0.005358 0.006857 0.008930 0.011765 0.016063
2025-11-02 0.003120 0.003984 0.005117 0.006747 0.009098 0.012468 0.017871
2025-11-09 0.002914 0.003800 0.004996 0.006775 0.009440 0.013438 0.020211
2025-11-16 0.002709 0.003597 0.004824 0.006702 0.009611 0.014153 0.022242
2025-11-23 0.002509 0.003383 0.004615 0.006547 0.009629 0.014616 0.023905
2025-11-30 0.002397 0.003283 0.004561 0.006615 0.010000 0.015690 0.026835
2025-12-07 0.002336 0.003253 0.004603 0.006834 0.010634 0.017293 0.031067
2025-12-14 0.002203 0.003104 0.004454 0.006729 0.010702 0.017888 0.033400
2025-12-21 0.002073 0.002953 0.004289 0.006581 0.010677 0.018300 0.035422
2025-12-28 0.001977 0.002851 0.004202 0.006569 0.010914 0.019293 0.039055
2026-01-04 0.001914 0.002798 0.004190 0.006686 0.011411 0.020891 0.044552
2026-01-11 0.001821 0.002689 0.004078 0.006615 0.011537 0.021737 0.048424
2026-01-18 0.001739 0.002595 0.003983 0.006565 0.011697 0.022677 0.052809
2026-01-25 0.001655 0.002491 0.003865 0.006462 0.011733 0.023344 0.056631
2026-02-01 0.001599 0.002432 0.003818 0.006488 0.012041 0.024689 0.062871
2026-02-08 0.001532 0.002349 0.003726 0.006418 0.012135 0.025536 0.067859
2026-02-15 0.001458 0.002251 0.003600 0.006271 0.012043 0.025909 0.071433
2026-02-22 0.001421 0.002214 0.003582 0.006337 0.012433 0.027583 0.080137
2026-03-01 0.001406 0.002215 0.003632 0.006544 0.013174 0.030340 0.094092
2026-03-08 0.001350 0.002140 0.003537 0.006444 0.013178 0.031057 0.100368